08 кастрычніка 2006

Politkovskaya Murder

Instapundit quotes this, titled "Putin grows ever more thuggish".


I am no supporter of Putin. I think he is a thug, I think his way of running Russia is terrible for the Russian people in the long run, and I have no reason to think he's above resorting to murder for personal gain of power.

The question with Politkovaksya murder, that I wish Glenn had asked himself before accusing Putin, is simple: What the hell does he gain from it? More chaos? More problems with the West?

To think that Politkovskaya was a real danger to Putin is laughable. Those who complain about lack of freedom of press in Russia (and I'm among them, I do complain about it) should remember that Kremlin inteference has been only one part of the equation. It's only one reason why there is no viable opposition to Putin. The other reason for that is the people who head the opposition: not unlike in Belarus, thet are either incompetent, or dishonest, or both: these people profiteer from their opposition work, while having no ability or intention to win any elections. All these parties like Yabloko and SPS have discredited themselves even before Putin came to power, and since then, they've done nothing but cry 'fascism'.

People like Yavlinksi, Hakamada, Kasparov, all these human rights activists have been acting like clowns: they have nothing to offer to the Russian people. They claim to stand behind the kind of principles I support (private property, liberty, human rights, bla-bla-bla) But the way they stand for these principles has not gone beyond talking. All anti-Putin journalists combigned can't do enough damage to Putin for this scandal to be worth it. So far, I've seen Putin's loud critics benefit more from this scandal than Putin himself. And to those who think that murder of journalists has been introduced by Putin, should remember Vladislav Listiev, who was murdered in 1995, and was a far more famous and powerful figure in Russia than Politkovskaya.

Those who ordered this murder were most likely politically motivated, and it's very possible they are pretty high up in Putin's administration. But this event is so much more likely to destabilize Putin's regime than strengthen it, I find it hard to believe Putin is behind this. It's a crazy world, especially in Russia, and anything is possible; but concluding flat out that he's behind this, to me seems like a really bad idea. It is very possible that that's exactly what the murderers wanted. The question we need to ask is "Cui prodest?", and Putin is very unlikely to gain anything out of it.

UPDATE: Welcom Instapundit readers, and thanks Glenn for linking, and for pointing out a language error in the post.


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Blogger Stephen M. St. Onge said...


        The fact that Putin will not gain from this murder (assuming that he won't, which is a big assumption indeed), doesn't mean that Putin didn't think he'd gain.  So there's no reason to think it wasn't Putin who ordered the hit.

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